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Model

Reversible Decisions

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There is a natural conflict between the desire to make decisions quickly and the feeling that you need to accumulate more information to be sure you are making the right choice. You can deal with this conflict by categorizing decisions as either reversible decisions or irreversible decisions. Irreversible decisions are hard if not impossible to unwind. And they tend to be really important. Think of selling your business or having a kid. This model holds that these decisions require a different decision-making process than their reversible counterparts, which should be treated much more fluidly. In a letter to shareholders, Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos stressed the importance of this model:

From

Chapter:

Anything That Can Go Wrong, Will

Section:

Too Much Of A Good Thing

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Inverse Thinking
Unforced Error
Antifragile
Arguing From First Principles
De-risking
Minimum Viable Product (MVP)
Premature Optimization
Ockham's Razor
Conjunction Fallacy
Overfitting
Frame of Reference
Framing
Nudging
Anchoring
Availability Bias
Filter bubble
Echo Chambers
Third story
Most Respectful Interpretation
Hanlon's Razor
Fundamental Attribution Error
Self-Serving Bias
Veil of Ignorance
Birth Lottery
Just World Hypothesis
Victim-Blame
Learned Helplessness
Paradigm Shift
Semmelweis Reflex
Confirmation Bias
Backfire Effect
Disconfirmation Bias
Cognitive Dissonance
Thinking Gray
Devil's Advocate Position
Intuition
Postmortem
Proximate Cause
Root Cause
5 Whys
Optimistic Probability Bias
Tyranny of Small Decisions
Tragedy of Commons
Spillover Effects
Public Goods
Herd Immunity
Free Rider Problem
Externalities
Coase Theorem
Cap-and-Trade
Moral Hazard
Principal-Agent Problem
Asymmetric Information
Adverse Selection
Market Failure
Goodhart's Law
Perverse Incentives
Cobra Effect
Streisand Effect
Hydra Effect
Observer Effect
Chilling Effect
Collateral Damage
Blowback
Boiling Frog
Short-termism
Technical Debt
Path Dependence
Preserving Optionality
Precautionary Principle
Information Overload
Analysis Paralysis
Perfect Is The Enemy of Good
Reversible Decisions
Hick's Law
Paradox of Choice
Decision Fatigue
Murphy's Law