Luckily, there is another straightforward mental model you can use to make sense of all these potential outcomes: the decision tree. It's a diagram that looks like a tree (drawn on its side), and helps you analyze decisions with uncertain outcomes. The branches (often denoted by squares) are decision points and the leaves represent different possible outcomes (often using open circles to denote chance points).
Chapter:
Decisions, Decisions
Section:
Taming Complexity